SENG Consultoría Estratégica

Our Approach

From Thesis to Closing: Structured, Auditable Execution

We combine local market intelligence with institutional-grade diligence, risk framing, and transaction structuring.

Workflow

Screen → Diligence → Structure → Execute → Monitor

01

Screen

Proprietary pipeline sourced through relationships and market intelligence. Each opportunity is evaluated against institutional thresholds before any resources are committed.

02

Diligence

Multidimensional due diligence—financial, legal, regulatory, ESG, and macro risk. Fact vs. assumption classification for every model input.

03

Structure

Tailored debt, equity, or hybrid solutions aligned with investor requirements. Security package architecture, risk allocation, and incentive alignment.

04

Execute

Negotiation, coordination, and transaction closing. Clear milestones, managed counterparties, and decision-grade materials for IC review.

05

Monitor

Ongoing governance, reporting cadence, and KPI tracking. Ring-fenced structures with documented accountability.

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Proprietary Framework

SQUA™ — SENG Quantitative Underwriting Architecture

A proprietary credit risk framework designed to evaluate large-scale infrastructure, energy, and private credit transactions (USD 20M–500M+) using institutional-grade quantitative methods.

SBI ≥ 80

Institutional Grade

Meets DFI/institutional investor standards without material structural enhancements.

65 ≤ SBI < 80

Structurable

Viable with targeted credit enhancements: guarantees, reserves, covenants.

SBI < 65

Non-Bankable

Fundamental structural deficiencies. Requires sponsor recapitalization or redesign.

Four Pillars

Composite Bankability Index Components

Weight: 40%

Pillar 1: Stochastic Cash Flow & DSCR Simulation

Quantifies the probability distribution of Debt Service Coverage Ratio under uncertainty. Incorporates volatility in revenue drivers (FX, volume, price), operating costs, and debt service obligations.

10,000 Monte Carlo scenarios using Latin Hypercube Sampling

FX Rate modeled via Geometric Brownian Motion (σ = 12–15% annually)

Volume availability factor bounded [85%, 98%] by asset class

Output: P10/P50/P90 DSCR, VaR95, probability of covenant breach

DFIs require P10 DSCR ≥ 1.20x and P(DSCR < 1.0) < 2% for investment-grade classification.

Weight: 30%

Pillar 2: Contractual Enforceability & Cash Flow Reliability

Translates legal and contractual risk into quantitative credit adjustments. Not all “contracted” cash flows are equally enforceable.

Take-or-Pay Strength (30%): Unconditional payment obligation analysis

Governing Law & Jurisdiction (20%): NY/English law preference

Termination Compensation (20%): NPV of remaining cash flows

Lender Step-in Rights (15%): Cure period and replacement rights

CRS ≥ 85: Institutional Grade | 70–85: Structurable | < 70: High Legal Risk.

Weight: 20%

Pillar 3: Collateral & Recovery Waterfall Simulation

Quantifies Recovery Rate and Loss Given Default under distressed scenarios, accounting for Mexican insolvency law and collateral priority.

Asset Liquidation Value model with 50–70% liquidation discounts

Recovery Waterfall per Mexican Ley de Concursos Mercantiles

10,000 Monte Carlo recovery scenarios with stochastic ALV

Claims priority: Labor → Tax → 1st Lien → Mezzanine → Unsecured

DFIs require P10 Recovery Rate ≥ 60% for 1st lien senior secured infrastructure positions.

Weight: 10%

Pillar 4: Regulatory & Political Risk

Evaluates permit status, political risk, and sovereign support or opposition. Factors in expropriation risk, tariff changes, and regulatory override.

Environmental permits (SEMARNAT) verification

Interconnection permits (CRE/CENACE) status

Political risk assessment: expropriation, tariff changes

Sovereign support analysis and opposition mapping

Full permit documentation and regulatory clearance required for institutional-grade classification.

Stress Testing

Mandatory Scenario Analysis

Every transaction is evaluated under standardized stress scenarios to ensure resilience.

Base Case

  • Contracted volumes
  • Market-forward FX/rates
  • Historical OpEx trends

Optimistic

  • +10% volume
  • -5% FX depreciation
  • -50 bps interest rates

Conservative (Stress)

  • -15% volume, +20% FX depreciation
  • +200 bps interest rates
  • 6-month payment delay

Activation Criteria

What We Require Before Engagement

Full SQUA™ activation is data-contingent. Without complete data, outputs are indicative only.

Financial Data

  • Audited financial statements (3+ years)
  • Monthly cash flow model with transparent formulas
  • Debt schedule: principal, interest, covenants

Contractual Data

  • Executed offtake agreements (PPA, gas supply)
  • O&M and EPC contracts
  • Interconnection agreements

Legal & Collateral

  • Lien search results
  • Security agreements and pledges
  • Legal opinions on enforceability

Regulatory & Permits

  • Environmental permits (SEMARNAT)
  • Land use and interconnection permits
  • Import/export permits (if applicable)

Ready for Institutional-Grade Evaluation?

Submit your project for SQUA™ assessment. Counterparty names and terms remain confidential under NDA.

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